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Spending on securing AI is set to jump almost 70% in 2027

Gartner says traditional security tools often treat AI applications like any other software. I think it’s the cyber firms that can explain the risk in plain English that’ll win this work.

SourceGartner · 26 Aug 2026 · forecast

Shane Kennedy · · 4 min read

The short version

  • Gartner forecasts the market for securing AI will reach almost US$4.8 billion in 2027, up 68.7%, and almost US$7.7 billion by 2028.
  • It predicts over half of successful attacks on AI agents will exploit access control weaknesses and prompt injection by 2029. AI usage control’s tipped to grow fastest in 2027, up 73%.
  • Two segments are seeing a wave of startups, and Gartner’s expecting consolidation to follow. I’d want to be known for explaining the risk in plain English before it gets crowded.

What Gartner forecast

Gartner released the forecast in Sydney on 26 August, but it doesn’t give an Australian figure. It expects spending on securing AI to reach almost US$4.8 billion in 2027, up 68.7% on this year’s US$2.8 billion. By 2028, it forecasts almost US$7.7 billion. That’s nearly triple in two years.

Gartner senior principal analyst Shailendra Upadhyay says it’s driven by enterprises needing to secure their AI systems and deal with new vulnerabilities. Without enough security and visibility controls, he says, enterprise AI projects “face a high risk of failure”.

SourceGartner · 26 Aug 2026 · forecast
The market for securing AI, US dollars: 2026, $2.8 billion; 2027, $4.8 billion, up 68.7%; 2028, $7.7 billion. Gartner’s estimate for 2026, forecasts for 2027 and 2028. Source: Gartner, 26 Aug 2026, forecast.

Why the old tools fall short

Upadhyay says “traditional security tools often treat AI applications like any other software”, and they’ll need significant updates to handle AI-specific threats.

He says the need for specialised tools will grow as businesses do more with AI. Autonomous AI’s the big one. He expects it’ll bring new vulnerabilities “beyond the reach of traditional monitoring”.

Illustration: Security scan. Website: Standard software. Payroll app: Standard software. AI agent: Standard software, flagged: AI-specific threats not checked.

Where the attacks will land

Gartner predicts that by 2029, over half of successful cyberattacks on AI agents will exploit access control weaknesses and prompt injections.

Its advice is to combine existing security systems with specialised AI security tools.

SourceGartner · 26 Aug 2026
Over half of successful attacks on AI agents will exploit these by 2029, Gartner predicts: Access control weaknesses and Prompt injection. Source: Gartner, 26 Aug 2026.

The fastest-growing part

Gartner splits the market into four main areas: AI application security, AI usage control, AI governance platforms and AI gateways. Application security stays the biggest of the four, at almost US$851 million in 2027.

But it’s AI usage control that grows fastest, up 73% to US$749 million. In plain English, that’s managing how people across a business use AI tools.

SourceGartner · 26 Aug 2026 · forecast
Securing AI by segment, 2027 forecast, US dollars: AI application security, $851 million, up 67.5%; AI governance platforms, $462 million, up 68.0%; AI gateways, $429 million, up 70.9%; AI usage control, $749 million, up 73.0%. Gartner also counts US$2.3B of other securing AI spending. Source: Gartner, 26 Aug 2026, forecast.

What happens next

Gartner doesn’t expect every segment to play out the same way. In AI governance platforms and AI gateways, which often build on existing enterprise systems for governance, data and API management, it says major vendors are likely to keep their lead by adding AI features. AI application security and AI usage control are another story. They’re seeing a wave of startups.

Upadhyay expects consolidation and acquisitions to follow, with larger cyber security companies buying those startups. So it’ll get crowded fast. Then it’ll narrow.

Illustration, no numbers: a scatter of small dots, labelled “A wave of startups”, drifts together into three larger dots, labelled “Consolidation”.

What it means for cyber firms

What clients will still need is a provider who can explain the risk in plain English and stand behind the result.

Take a 300-person accounting firm that’s given its staff an AI assistant. The partners want to know what could go wrong, and who’s watching it. They’d probably pick a provider who can answer both on one page, in words they already use, over one with a longer list of features.

The open padlock gives way to a closed one as it scrolls in

Shane’s take

The risk in plain English.

Whoever claims that ground first won’t be easy to shift.

Sources and notes

  • All figures are in US dollars. The 2026 figure is Gartner’s estimate, the 2027 and 2028 figures are its forecasts, and the 2029 attack figure is a prediction.
  • “Managing how people across a business use AI tools” is my plain-English description of AI usage control, not Gartner’s wording.
  • “What it means for cyber firms” and “Shane’s take”, including the accounting firm example, are my opinion, not Gartner’s.

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